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June 2, 2016

The gamed nature of earnings estimates… Bianco

From James Bianco, via Ritholz (http://ritholtz.com/2016/06/historical-look-earnings/): "In a nutshell, analysts often offer more optimistic earnings

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June 1, 2016

Giant Oil Trader Vitol…. Bloomberg

Lots of good stuff in Bloomberg's article about Ian Taylor and Vitol

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May 31, 2016

Oil price forecasts… WSJ

Here is a look at a WSJ survey of investment banks' oil price estimates: Here is the link:

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May 30, 2016

“Teapot” refineries… WSJ

The Wall Street Journal has a nice discussion on  "teapot" refineries in China

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May 30, 2016

Economist James Hamilton looks at some oil trends…

Here is the link: http://econbrowser.com/archives/2016/05/trends-in-oil-supply-and-demand Not much new, but I liked this chart, showing a flattening

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May 30, 2016

Production outages…

From the WSJ, http://www.wsj.com/articles/fueling-oils-push-to-50-fear-is-back-1464427980: "About 3.5 million barrels a day worth of production is

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May 27, 2016

Crude oil implied volatility plummets…

Here is the chart: Implied volatility settled at 34.4 yesterday (based on at the money, second nearby month option), down from 79.2 on February

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May 27, 2016

US distillate demand picking up…

After a seasonally warm winter, US distillate demand is now above 4 mid... Here is the chart from the EIA: And, distillate cracks have improved

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May 26, 2016

GDPNow +.4 from previous estimate, 2Q…

Based on recent economic data released, the Atlanta Fed has increased its 2Q GDP estimate up .4 to +2.9%... "Latest forecast: 2.9 percent — May 26,

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