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Weekly vs. monthly gasoline demand… Bloomberg

You are here: Home / Uncategorized / Weekly vs. monthly gasoline demand… Bloomberg

July 3, 2016 by Jim Colburn Leave a Comment

Julian Lee at Bloomberg discusses a recent divergence between the EIA’ monthly gasoline demand (lagged) and weekly estimates (current) here:  http://www.bloomberg.com/gadfly/articles/2016-07-03/is-america-s-oil-thirst-just-an-illusion

Here is the chart:

image

Perhaps demand is not as robust as we think? Again, from Lee:

“So with the supply-side dynamics offering less of a prop to the crude price, more weight is being placed on demand. Yet analysts are becoming more pessimistic. Barclays has reduced its forecast of global demand growth this year to 1.1 million barrels a day from 1.2 million, after cutting its economic growth expectations because of the U.K. decision to leave the EU.Last month, the World Bank lowered its forecast of global GDP growth in 2016 to 2.4 percent from 2.9 percent — and that was before Brexit. With all this in mind, it’s natural to look at the EIA’s monthly U.S. data and wonder about the crude rally’s robustness.”

 

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Commodity Research Group (CRG), founded by veteran analyst Edward Meir, is an independent research consultancy specializing in base and precious metals, as well energy products. The Group provides research and general price analysis for these markets, along with advice to companies seeking to construct commodity hedging strategies.

Our associates bring decades of experience to the table, as they seek to help our clients understand the markets. CRG will distill the myriad of pricing variables mentioned above into coherent research that is to-the-point and tailored to a clients hedging or pricing needs. In addition, CRG is available for consulting assignments and speaking engagements. CRG does not manage money or trade for itself.

 


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