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EIA revises global growth estimates down… EIA

You are here: Home / Commodity Research / EIA revises global growth estimates down… EIA

February 12, 2020 by Jim Colburn Leave a Comment

Here is the EIA on their global demand estimates for 2020:

”the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts that global liquid fuels demand will average 101.7 million barrels per day (b/d) in 2020, 1.0 million b/d more than the 2019 average. This latest estimate of 2020 global liquid fuels demand is 378,000 b/d less than was forecast in the January 2020 STEO (Figure 1).”

“EIA estimates that COVID-19 will reduce China’s total petroleum and liquid fuels demand by an average of 190,000 b/d in 2020. This forecast is based on estimates of three separate components (Figure 2):

  • The reduction in demand for petroleum and liquid fuels caused by the general decline in Chinese economic activity as measured by gross domestic product (GDP);
  • The volume of foregone jet fuel consumption in China caused by flight cancellations; and
  • The additional impact on China’s demand for other transportation fuels.”

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Commodity Research Group (CRG), founded by veteran analyst Edward Meir, is an independent research consultancy specializing in base and precious metals, as well energy products. The Group provides research and general price analysis for these markets, along with advice to companies seeking to construct commodity hedging strategies.

Our associates bring decades of experience to the table, as they seek to help our clients understand the markets. CRG will distill the myriad of pricing variables mentioned above into coherent research that is to-the-point and tailored to a clients hedging or pricing needs. In addition, CRG is available for consulting assignments and speaking engagements. CRG does not manage money or trade for itself.

 


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