Deconstructing 30 Year Stock Market Returns…

The blog “A Wealth of Common Sense” looks at rolling 30 year annual returns here:  http://awealthofcommonsense.com/2016/05/deconstructing-30-year-stock-market-returns/

“Some will argue that these numbers are somewhat misleading because many of these periods are overlapping with one another. If you break things down into non-overlapping periods there have really only been three separate 30 year periods in this data set. So I calculated the annual returns from each of those three 30 year periods to see how they stacked up:

1926-1956: +10.77%
1956-1986: +9.63%
1986-2016: +9.99%
The consistency of returns is fairly remarkable when you consider some of the events that have transpired in each of those 30 year periods:
1926-1956: The Great Depression, a stock market crash of more than 80%, World War II, The Korean War and four recessions.
1956-1986: The Civil Rights Movement, the Vietnam War, a president was assassinated and another forced to resign, an oil price shock from the OPEC embargo, double digit inflation and interest rates and six recessions.
1986-2016: Black Monday in 1987, the Savings & Loan crisis, Desert Storm, 9/11, wars in Iraq and Afghanistan and three recessions.”

Given above returns and associated events, I’m wondering what weighting a 25 basis point move by the Fed will get in 30 years…