Any article that mentions Holbrook Working is worth reading:
http://www.reuters.com/article/oil-stocks-kemp-idUSL5N1E33C3
Here is Kemp:
“Crude traders expect the oil market to begin tightening and gradually move into deficit, but the shift is not forecast to occur much before the second half of 2017.
The expected timetable for rebalancing is revealed by the changing relationship between Brent futures prices for different months in 2017 and 2018.”
Here is his chart:
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