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Jim Colburn

April 13, 2020

Some oil charts… WSJ

Ryan Dezember and Vipa Monga, Wall Street Journal, have a nice piece today, here, “North America’s Industry is Shutting Off the Spigot”, including

Category iconCommodity Research

April 10, 2020

May/June WTI spread collapses, again…

Here is the chart from Barchart.com... May/June declined by $.98 on Thursday...  Lots of spread options are going in the money... Open interest on the

Category iconCommodity Research

April 10, 2020

US distillate stocks remain relatively low… EIA

From the EIA’s “This Week in Petroleum”, US petroleum and product stock levels... Distillates actually look tight...  

Category iconCommodity Research

April 8, 2020

Supply/Demand balances… EIA

Here s a nice chart showing supply/demand forecasts and inventory builds from the EIA’s excellent Short Term Energy Outlook:

Category iconCommodity Research

April 8, 2020

Difficult times for price forecasting…

Here is the EIA’s Short Term Energy Outlook, released yesterday, projecting future oil prices... Note the 95% confidence interval:

Category iconCommodity Research

April 3, 2020

WTI options update…

Here is the CME's Most Active Strike tool from yesterday... Put open interest increased by more than twice call OI... Did traders use the rally to

Category iconCommodity Research

April 1, 2020

Oil to $0?… OilPrice.com

Nick Cunningham, OilPrice.com, has a nice piece on oil prices... Here are some takeaways, but do read the whole thing: “‘Estimates for the demand

Category iconCommodity Research

April 1, 2020

Ben Cohen, “The Hot Hand”, is interviewed…

Barry Ritholz, Bloomberg interviews Ben Cohen here... and it’s very good! “Bloomberg Opinion columnist Barry Ritholtz speaks with Ben Cohen, NBA

Category iconCommodity Research

March 31, 2020

WTI spread options update…

May/June and June/July -$5.00 and -$6.50 puts trade 5,000 times each, maybe as a put spread... May/June futures settled at -$4.00, June/July at

Category iconCommodity Research

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