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Jim Colburn

July 6, 2021

Cross correlations….

My occasional look at cross correlations (using QuikStrike’s excellent tool via the CME) shows oil (CL) and Bitcoin (BTC) are correlated with…

Category iconCommodity Research

July 6, 2021

U.S. Oil Prices Hit Six-Year High Amid OPEC Standoff… WSJ

That’s the title of a story in today’s Wall Street Journal…. I’ve been following the oil (options) market since the mid 80’s… You’re telling me the

Category iconCommodity Research

July 3, 2021

WTI implied, historic volatility…

An interesting pattern in WTI volatility has unfolded through the current OPEC+ meeting as displayed by Barchart.com, below… Historical volatility (20

Category iconCommodity Research

July 2, 2021

Percent job losses in post WWII recessions… Calculated Risk

From the Calculated Risk blog:

Category iconCommodity Research

June 30, 2021

WTI options update…

Ahead of tomorrow’s OPEC+ meeting, note that implied vol is moving sideways (30.88, orange, left hand scale) but not collapsing like the 20 day

Category iconCommodity Research

June 30, 2021

Natural gas options update…

Natural gas prices have exploded upward recently as the chart below shows (from Barchart.com)…  But yesterday’s option flow looks like a market (on a

Category iconCommodity Research

June 30, 2021

More OPEC+ supply needed… Goldman via Reuters

Here is a story from Reuters on what Goldman is saying about oil… “The U.S. bank forecast oil demand to rise by an additional 2.2 million barrels

Category iconCommodity Research

June 29, 2021

Covid, peak transportation, oil demand… Columbia Center on Global Energy Policy

Here is a chart showing driving trends from a report by Amy Jaffe Meyers, et. al., “Will COVID Drive an Early Peak in Transportation Activity and Oil

Category iconCommodity Research

June 28, 2021

OPEC’s view of supply/demand… Reuters

Alex Lawler, Reuters, discusses what OPEC is looking at ahead of this week’s meeting, here… “OPEC's latest forecast of the demand for its crude

Category iconCommodity Research

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