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Jim Colburn

May 10, 2019

Debt levels in selected oil producing countries… WSJ

  From the Wall Street Journal’s The Daily Shot, here... Note that debt levels increased after the collapse in oil prices in late 2014...

Category iconCommodity Research

May 9, 2019

Why is it so hard to predict the future… The Atlantic

David Epstein, The Atlantic, has an excellent piece recapping the famous Ehrlich/Simon bet and discussing Phillip Tetlock’s research, here.. ”Even

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May 9, 2019

US energy consumption, production, exports reach record highs in 2018… EIA

From Today in Energy, here...

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May 8, 2019

A balanced oil market…

Here is the EIA’s supply/demand outlook through 2020 in a picture...

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May 8, 2019

Fund activity in gasoline and diesel….

Money managers’ positions in gasoline and diesel have diverged... The first two charts are from John Kemp, Reuters, here...  The last on is from the

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May 8, 2019

Midland/West Texas Sour… EIA

The EIA suggests there was a spec issue, here... ”Light, sweet crude oil prices in the Midland hub, the area where crude oil produced from the

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May 7, 2019

Grain markets at 42 year lows… Bloomberg

Here are Michael Hirtzer and Mario Parker, Bloomberg on Trump tweets and grain prices: ”Soybean and corn futures slumped after tweets from Donald

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May 7, 2019

The market is betting on climate change… VOX

A few years ago, I was talking to some oil producers in North Dakota about hedging and in conversation asked if they had seen climate change effects

Category iconCommodity Research

May 3, 2019

Atlanta Fed’s GDP nowcast…

The Atlanta Fed bumped up its “nowcast” for 2Q GDP by 0.5 percentage point after today’s economic data... The Fed’s tool is probably better as a

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