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Cyclical Oil Prices

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January 20, 2016 by Jim Colburn Leave a Comment

This is from the NY Times in 1987 (via marginalrevolution:  http://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2016/01/wednesday-assorted-links-42.html):

http://www.nytimes.com/1987/02/08/business/business-forum-will-oil-prices-hold-at-18-a-game-the-saudis-can-t-afford.html

“Competitive markets will induce more production and a gradual shift in production from high-cost to low-cost regions, producing prices conservatively estimated at $5 to $10 a barrel. The so-called oil glut of 1986 was not an anomaly. It was symptomatic of a permanent ”oversupply” that promises to exert unyielding downward pressure on oil prices.”

By the way, the lowest struck put traded so far is the August $10 put… The put with the most open interest is the December 30 with around 53,000… (as of yesterday)…

 

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Commodity Research Group (CRG), founded by veteran analyst Edward Meir, is an independent research consultancy specializing in base and precious metals, as well energy products. The Group provides research and general price analysis for these markets, along with advice to companies seeking to construct commodity hedging strategies.

Our associates bring decades of experience to the table, as they seek to help our clients understand the markets. CRG will distill the myriad of pricing variables mentioned above into coherent research that is to-the-point and tailored to a clients hedging or pricing needs. In addition, CRG is available for consulting assignments and speaking engagements. CRG does not manage money or trade for itself.

 


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