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Option notes…

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April 10, 2016 by Jim Colburn Leave a Comment

Friday’s sharp price rally brought out option traders in force…274,864 options contracts traded and probably most surprising to note is that the put/call volumes were almost equal, 134,161 calls to 140,703 puts… The most active calls were in May: the 40c traded 17,712 times; 41c, 12,162; 42, 8,157; For puts, the May 35p traded 18,371 times, the 3250p, 9,790x… Implied volatility remained around unchanged for the June at the money option at 43.6%… Here is the long term chart:

Picture1

Note that we have moved from a record low volatility environment in 2Q2014 to the third highest spike in vol of all time earlier this year  (since options have traded on the NYMEX) (Gulf War I was the highest)…. If trading were a McDonald’s apple pie, we would definitely need to add the warning, “Caution: Filling is Hot”….

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Commodity Research Group (CRG), founded by veteran analyst Edward Meir, is an independent research consultancy specializing in base and precious metals, as well energy products. The Group provides research and general price analysis for these markets, along with advice to companies seeking to construct commodity hedging strategies.

Our associates bring decades of experience to the table, as they seek to help our clients understand the markets. CRG will distill the myriad of pricing variables mentioned above into coherent research that is to-the-point and tailored to a clients hedging or pricing needs. In addition, CRG is available for consulting assignments and speaking engagements. CRG does not manage money or trade for itself.

 


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