but that means being wrong most of the time… 25iq does a nice job discussing contrarian thinking here:
https://25iq.com/2016/10/28/why-investors-must-be-contrarians-to-outperform-the-market/
Here is one nugget of many:
“This point made by Bezos is the reason why most people follow the crowd. Michael Mauboussin explains this tendency with a simple example:
“Being a contrarian for the sake of being a contrarian is not a good idea. In other words, when the movie theater’s on fire, run out the door, right? Don’t run in the door…. Successful contrarian investing isn’t about going against the grain per se, it’s about exploiting expectations gaps.”
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