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Implied Volatility, Volume, some notes, WTI options…

You are here: Home / Uncategorized / Implied Volatility, Volume, some notes, WTI options…

February 1, 2016 by Jim Colburn Leave a Comment

WTI options on the NYMEX traded an average 235,611 contracts in January… According to their report, 156,629 traded on average in 2015… Cash settled one month storage options (7A) traded 11,999 per day in January, compared with a 7,295 average last year… Futures settled one month storage options (WA) traded 11,334 compared with 9,325 last year… Here is the full report for January:

http://www.cmegroup.com/daily_bulletin/monthly_volume/Web_ADV_Report_NYMEX_COMEX.pdf

At recent price levels option trading has not necessarily been dominated by puts (previous posts have suggested less hedging by producers at these price levels)… On Friday, 4 of the most actively traded strikes were calls… Dec 80 and 100 calls traded 10,701 and 21,200 times while settling at 31 and 10 cents… The 80 call saw a decline in open interest by about 7,000 while the 100 calls were down about 700…  March 35 and 40 calls were active, too, with about 8,000 each of these trading…

Implied volatility was pretty much unchanged at around 60% into the price rally, but dropped by 4 points to 57% on Friday… This is still a very high number and suggests continued “high anxiety” in energy markets…  Here is the chart of implied volatility through Friday:

Picture1

 

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Commodity Research Group (CRG), founded by veteran analyst Edward Meir, is an independent research consultancy specializing in base and precious metals, as well energy products. The Group provides research and general price analysis for these markets, along with advice to companies seeking to construct commodity hedging strategies.

Our associates bring decades of experience to the table, as they seek to help our clients understand the markets. CRG will distill the myriad of pricing variables mentioned above into coherent research that is to-the-point and tailored to a clients hedging or pricing needs. In addition, CRG is available for consulting assignments and speaking engagements. CRG does not manage money or trade for itself.

 


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