The difficulty of counting oil barrels in storage worldwide is discussed in this article from the Wall Street Journal: http://www.wsj.com/articles/how-much-oil-is-in-storage-globally-take-a-guess-1469380040
“Some countries, such as Russia and China, choose not to report their oil-storage levels. And traders and oil companies that park supertankers have no obligation to make public their supply.”
““The data itself is so inconsistent,” said Harish Sundaresh, portfolio manager and commodities strategist for Loomis, Sayles & Co., which manages $240 billion. “In countries like Nigeria, Brazil, Angola, it’s not trustable.””
Here is what we think we know:
Here is a chart showing the difference between Sep and Oct WTI, which could be looked at as the incentive to store. We have recently moved to an area, -$.70, where the option to store becomes competitive:
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