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Employment comments….

You are here: Home / Uncategorized / Employment comments….

August 5, 2016 by Jim Colburn Leave a Comment

Here is the bottom line from CalculatedRisk (for more, including many charts, visit the site here: http://www.calculatedriskblog.com):

“The headline jobs number was strong, and there were upward revisions to job growth for prior months. Both the participation rate and employment-population ratio ticked up, and wages increased.

A few negatives were U-6 increased slightly, and the number of both long term unemployed and part time workers increased slightly. But overall this was a strong report.”

But the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow estimate, after accounting for today’s jobs report and today’s international trade report, was about unchanged:

“The GDPNow model forecast for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2016 is 3.8 percent on August 5, up from 3.7 percent on August 4. After this morning’s employment situation release from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and this morning’s international trade report from the U.S. Census Bureau, the forecast for third-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth increased from 8.1 percent to 8.8 percent.”

Here is the link: https://www.frbatlanta.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx?panel=1

 

 

 

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Commodity Research Group (CRG), founded by veteran analyst Edward Meir, is an independent research consultancy specializing in base and precious metals, as well energy products. The Group provides research and general price analysis for these markets, along with advice to companies seeking to construct commodity hedging strategies.

Our associates bring decades of experience to the table, as they seek to help our clients understand the markets. CRG will distill the myriad of pricing variables mentioned above into coherent research that is to-the-point and tailored to a clients hedging or pricing needs. In addition, CRG is available for consulting assignments and speaking engagements. CRG does not manage money or trade for itself.

 


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