In our blog, we have been tracking the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow which updates current quarter GDP estimates after various economic releases… Here is Bloomberg on how well they did:
“Traders who ignored the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta’s GDPNow second-quarter forecast for the U.S. economy can only blame themselves. The regional bank lowered its outlook for gross domestic product Thursday — to 1.8 percent growth at an annualized rate — after receiving an inaugural batch of data from the Census Bureau. GDP today came in at a 1.2 percent rate for the quarter, trailing the median estimate of economists, who had called for a 2.5 percent pace.”
I like to look at the Fed’s GDP estimates to get a sense of how important the many economic data points released are to the big picture… Who needs an in house economist?
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