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3 Big Risks for 2017…Goldman via Business Insider

You are here: Home / Uncategorized / 3 Big Risks for 2017…Goldman via Business Insider

January 9, 2017 by Jim Colburn Leave a Comment

Goldman Sachs chief economist, Jan Hatzius, lays out three risks to an otherwise optimistic outlook here:(http://www.businessinsider.com/goldman-sachs-chief-economist-jan-hatzius-says-economy-good-but-there-are-three-risks-2017-1)

“1. Trade protectionism: “Associated with the transition to the Trump administration, a hard turn towards protectionism. That’s definitely something that we’ve got our eye on that I think is a downside risk to the global economy.”

2. European politics: “While Europe has improved there’s still some significant problems, especially in the labour markets of the southern European economies.”

3. China: “China continues to see very rapid debt growth and increases in the debt to GDP ratio so we would have to have a close look at signals from China, especially as far as capital flows are concerned and this is a major focus of our Asia economics team.”

And here is a chart showing a pick up in current economic activity in selected markets:

 

 

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Commodity Research Group (CRG), founded by veteran analyst Edward Meir, is an independent research consultancy specializing in base and precious metals, as well energy products. The Group provides research and general price analysis for these markets, along with advice to companies seeking to construct commodity hedging strategies.

Our associates bring decades of experience to the table, as they seek to help our clients understand the markets. CRG will distill the myriad of pricing variables mentioned above into coherent research that is to-the-point and tailored to a clients hedging or pricing needs. In addition, CRG is available for consulting assignments and speaking engagements. CRG does not manage money or trade for itself.

 


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