MIT Suggests US Overstates Oil Output Forecasts… Bloomberg

by Jim Colburn • Friday, December 1, 2017

I think this kind of story is more likely to come out near market tops than market bottoms… We’ll see… Here is Bloomberg:

“But now, researchers at MIT have uncovered one potentially game-changing detail: a flaw in the Energy Department’s official forecast, which may vastly overstate oil and gas production in the years to come.

The culprit, they say, lies in the Energy Information Administration’s premise that better technology has been behind nearly all the recent output gains, and will continue to boost production for the foreseeable future. That’s not quite right. Instead, the research suggests increases have been largely due to something more mundane: low energy prices, which led drillers to focus on sweet spots where oil and gas are easiest to extract.”

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